What Should You Do About Inflation and Stock Market Volatility?
By Jeff Paustian
After a three-year rally, the financial markets have been down for seven straight days, marking their worst slide since the pandemic decline in March of 2020. (1) Monday’s intraday market dip put the S&P 500 down over 10%, which is officially called a “correction” on Wall Street. While the market rallied towards the end of the day for a brief period, the market was off to its worst January start ever. (2)
In addition to the stock market decline, inflation has been causing concerns. Because inflation is reaching 40-year highs, it is expected that the Federal Reserve will begin raising interest rates in the spring, which could potentially slow the economy. (3)
Investors are understandably nervous about their investments and their purchasing power. If you are worried about your portfolio, you’re not alone. But during stock market volatility, it’s important to keep a level head to avoid financial mistakes.
Stay Calm
At times like these, it’s important to put current conditions into perspective. This is not the first time the market has taken a tumble and it won’t be the last. Declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average are actually fairly regular events. In fact, drops of 10% or more happen about once a year on average: (4)
Ride Out the Uncertainty Storm
It’s important to remember that markets dislike uncertainty. Currently, there is a lot of uncertainty regarding the continued coronavirus pandemic, inflation, interest rate hikes, tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and earnings reports due out for several large technology companies.
With so much uncertainty, volatility right now is extreme. The VIX, or the market volatility index, is at the highest level in nearly a year. (5) As we get more information, it is likely that day-to-day market fluctuations will decrease.
Play Dead
There’s an old saying that the best thing to do when you meet a bear market is the same as if you were to meet a bear in the woods: play dead. While easier said than done, successful long-term investors know that it’s important to stay calm during a market correction. We don’t know yet whether the coronavirus fears will translate into an official correction, but the risk always exists.
Market volatility has increased in recent years and the media can often make it seem like each episode is worse than the one before. In reality, volatility does not hurt investors, but selling when the market is down will lock in losses.
Remember That Your Portfolio Is Diversified
Fears about inflation, volatility, and market declines are stressful. However, it is important to keep in mind that while the stock market is down, your portfolio is made up of stocks, bonds, and other assets that are designed to work together to decrease overall losses. It’s important to consider your specific portfolio, investment horizon, and circumstances when reflecting on economic events. If you have questions about your portfolio, get in touch with our office.
Review Your 401(k) and Other Accounts
Now is a good time to take a look at all of your investment accounts, including your 401(k) to make sure it is well diversified. If you have not rebalanced your other investment accounts in the last year, get in touch with our office and we’ll take a look and offer recommendations to minimize potential losses.
Speak With Your Advisor
Whether you’re new to investing or an experienced investor, it’s helpful to consult with an objective third party. Human nature causes us all to act out of emotion when our accounts go down. As an independent firm, we put your best interests first. We seek to serve as a support system for our clients, helping them make informed financial decisions that aren’t driven solely by emotion.
We’re Here for Your Friends and Family
If you have friends or family who need help with their investments, we are happy to offer a complimentary portfolio review and recommendations. We can discuss what is appropriate for their immediate needs and long-term objectives. Sometimes simply speaking with a financial advisor may help investors feel more confident and less concerned with the day-to-day market activity.
About Jeff
Jeff Paustian is CEO and co-founder of JGP Wealth Management, an independent, fee-based financial advisory firm in Portland, Oregon. With over 25 years of industry experience, Jeff spends his days helping his clients confidently live the life they want. He strives to consistently provide unparalleled service to his clients and put their interests first, always. He is known for how strongly he advocates for others and thoroughly enjoys individually focused problem-solving and building long-term relationships with his clients. Jeff has a bachelor’s degree from the University of Oregon and has been recognized as a Five Star Wealth Manager by the Portland Monthly magazine, as well as a Premier Wealth Advisor and Top Wealth Manager by The Portland Business Journal.
Jeff loves to be involved in his community and is a mentor for the Harrington Family Foundation Scholarship Program, as well as a member of the Multnomah Athletic Club and Arlington Club. Outside of the office, you can find Jeff spending time with his wife and four children. He enjoys hiking, trail running, paddle boarding, and most outdoor activities. When he’s not outdoors, Jeff spends his time reading and cooking. To learn more about Jeff, connect with him on LinkedIn.
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(1) https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/23/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html
(2) https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/what-is-market-correction/
(4) https://www.capitalgroup.com/individual/planning/market-fluctuations/past-market-declines.html
(5) https://seekingalpha.com/news/3790661-sp-500-etfs-fall-as-the-vix-crosses-above-32